• Dependence and Risk Management

    Simulating realistic correlation matrices for financial applications

    The major part of observed correlation matrices in financial applications exhibits the Perron-Frobenius property, namely a dominant eigenvector with only positive entries. We present a simulation algorithm for random correlation matrices satisfying this property, which can be augmented to take into account a realistic eigenvalue structure. From the construction principle applied in our algorithm, and the fact that it is able to generate all such correlation matrices, we are further able to compute explicitly the proportion of Perron-Frobenius correlation matrices in the set of all correlation matrices in a fixed dimension.

     

     

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  • Dependence and Risk Management

    Consistent iterated simulation of multivariate defaults

    A current market-practice to incorporate multivariate defaults in global risk-factor simulations is the iteration of (multiplicative) i.i.d. survival indicator increments along a given time-grid, where the indicator distribution is based on a copula ansatz. The underlying assumption is that the behavior of the resulting iterated default distribution is similar to the one-shot distribution. It is shown that in most cases this assumption is not fulfilled and furthermore numerical analysis is presented that shows sizable differences in probabilities assigned to both “survival-of-all” and “mixed default/survival” events. We furthermore present a survey of those copula families that make the aforementioned methodology work.

     

     

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  • Equity Derivatives

    A note on the modeling of quanto-converts (in German only)

    We discuss some critical aspects when evaluating convertible bonds whose underlying equity trades in a currency different from the bond currency.

     

     

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